市场不确定性增加，金价续刷历史高点
本月现货黄金价格进一步延续此前的震荡上行走势，并将历史高点刷新至2942一线位置，目前月线级别的均线簇呈现多头排列形态，MACD指标双线维持金叉运行过程，表示多头走势仍未结束，后市或有进一步延续走高的过程。
俄罗斯石油供应受限，市场关注G7新措施
俄乌冲突仍在持续，乌克兰无人机袭击了俄罗斯关键石油泵站，预计将导致哈萨克斯坦至黑海的石油输送减少30%。这一供应中断可能进一步收紧市场供给，推动油价上涨。
与此同时，七国集团（G7）正在讨论进一步收紧对俄罗斯原油出口的价格上限，以削弱俄罗斯的能源收入。此前实施的每桶60美元价格上限对俄罗斯财政收入的影响有限，因此G7可能寻求更严格的限制措施。
美俄在沙特会谈无实质性进展，地缘政治风险仍存
美俄高级官员本周在沙特首都利雅得举行了会谈，讨论俄乌局势。然而，由于乌克兰总统泽连斯基未被邀请，欧洲方面对该谈判持怀疑态度，认为其难以推动真正的和平协议。这一不确定性可能继续影响能源市场情绪。
特朗普关税政策增加市场不确定性
特朗普政府宣布可能对汽车、半导体和医药产品征收25%关税，预计4月2日正式公布。此前，美国已经对钢铁和铝产品实施了25%关税，该措施将于3月生效。
市场担忧，特朗普的贸易政策可能影响全球供应链，进而影响能源需求，导致原油价格波动加剧。今年年初，由于寒潮天气和对俄新的限制措施，油价一度上涨，但特朗普的关税威胁引发市场避险情绪，导致油价回落。此外，特朗普政府正在审查雪佛龙公司（Chevron）继续从委内瑞拉出口原油的许可，这一决定可能影响美委之间的能源贸易，并加剧全球市场的不确定性。
从日线级别上看，目前金价在刷新历史高点后暂缓涨势，尽管MACD指标双线发出死叉变盘信号，但回落走势并未出现，整体以高位横盘整理为主，暗示当前走势保持强势，可以继续留意高位整理区间，并以后市的突破方向为短期趋势方向的参考。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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