熊傲君：加息在即，金价为何暴涨？
自五月初出现大跌后，金价开始了连续一个与的反弹，期间经过不断的盘整和续涨后，金价自低位1214反弹至今已近70美元，大家可能会问，六月份不是要加息吗，黄金为什么能暴涨呢？接下来熊傲君给大家从最近的消息面上分析分析。
1. 美国经济数据有所走坏
最近美国的制造业数据，GDP，以及零售销售数据，CPI数据都出现不同程度的回落，特别是本月非农数据奇差，令市场开始怀疑美国的经济是否真的如此乐观，自然令黄金的多头获取信心。
2. 加息预期高涨有所消化
前段时间由于美联储官员持续发表鹰派言论，市场加息概率到达100%，金价提前出现暴跌，如今消息已有所消化，加息高涨情绪回落，另外本月非农走坏后，市场加息概率也下降至80%，年内加息三次的可能性也在降低，随之金价也迎来反弹。
3. 市场风险事件增多
前段时间，特朗普又是“通俄门”，又是“泄密门”，本来在执政上就没有获得支撑的特朗普更受打击，以后想推行政策难度将一步加大，最近特朗普更是退出巴黎协议，周四前FBI局长科米将出席听证会爆料，再加上英国大选的不确定性，毫无疑问进一步触发了市场的避险情绪，地缘政治上，中东局势混乱，卡塔尔被政治孤立更是火上加油。
4. 黄金技术面或面临破位
自黄金低位反弹以来，已接近80美元，形成良好的上行趋势，若以目前的价格收线，将突破前方趋势线压力，那么未来空间将相当可观，当然一方面线未收，另外一方面1300心理关口也需要突破，但毫无疑问目前的技术面已倒向多头，即使趋势线令价格短期需要调整，但对于多头而言，未来依旧一片光明。
总结：消息面上，目前市场上的利多因素已占有一定优势，技术面上，一旦金价向上突破周线趋势线，那么1300整数关口恐怕也难以坚守，所以短期内只能等待反弹到位，才能期待后市走出较为明显的回调局面。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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