耶伦讲话对金价会造成什么影响
关键词:耶伦讲话对金价会造成什么影响
美联储9月决议失信市场未能如期加息,助金价上破1140,虽然本周周初受到欧元下滑、美联储官员“撒鹰”等影响,一度回落至1120附近,但周三受到德拉基暗示不急于扩大QE的影响,金价借势重回1130上方,目前正交投于1136附近徘徊。
明日凌晨时段,市场将会迎来美联储主席耶伦的演说,金价届时将会得到支撑继续上涨还是受压回落呢?
关注点一:耶伦是否撒鹰
自上周美联储维持利率不变后,市场现在一直在猜测美联储的加息时间,虽然市场大多认为12月加息才合理,但从周初联储官员洛克哈特、布拉德的言论可以看出,美联储不排除在10月就加息。因此在明日耶伦的讲话中,我们要关注耶伦是否会预期10月就开始加息,这很可能会再次对黄金构成压力,打压金价走软。反之,则会对黄金构成稳定作用,为金价提供有力支撑。
关注点二:耶伦对新兴市场和中国的态度
在上周的新闻发布会上,耶伦曾提及对新兴市场以及对中国经济放缓的担忧,这使得市场在投资上显得十分谨慎,从而对黄金起到了稳定的作用。
而目前习近平正在美国进行国事访问,他在演说中强调了中国经济有条件保持平稳较快的发展,并指出中国未来将会致力于深化改革和扩大开放。这可能会改变耶伦对中国的经济的态度。如果耶伦对中国经济重燃信心,很可能会改善市场对中国经济放缓的担忧,从而改善市场谨慎的投资情绪,进而对黄金构成压力。相反则会对黄金构成利好。
总的来说,明日凌晨耶伦的讲话都会对金价造成一定的影响,大家可以谨慎入市,在操作上比较困扰的朋友可以参考大田环球的黄金策略,据投资者反映,该策略的参考价值还是十分高的。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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