美聯儲利率維穩，黃金再測試4000關口
昨日現貨黃金價格於3994一線位置開盤，日內價格最高反彈至4040附近，最低回踩至3982一線，最終於4012一線附近位置收盤。儘管昨日金價未能成功反彈，但下方4000整數關口防守成功，暗示短時間內價格或缺乏進一步下破的動力。
伊朗高級官員稱調解方提議伊美停火10天
據外媒20日援引一名伊朗高級官員的話報導，伊美談判調解方已向伊方提出旨在緩和目前局勢的提議，該提議建議實施為期10天的停火，以尋求恢復執行伊美上個月達成的諒解備忘錄。伊朗外交部發言人巴加埃當天在新聞發佈會上說，伊方已收到美國和伊朗談判調解方提出的建議，具體細節暫不便透露。他同時表示，伊朗內政部長當天將訪問巴基斯坦，就兩國相關事務進行磋商。
沙特聯軍宣佈採取軍事行動保障曼德海峽航運安全
當地時間7月20日，沙烏地阿拉伯主導的多國聯軍指揮部發表聲明稱，聯軍已開始採取措施保護聯盟國家船隻通過曼德海峽。聯軍發言人圖爾基·馬利基表示，指揮部正採取一切必要的軍事行動和嚴密措施，確保聯盟國家船隻在曼德海峽的航行安全。聯軍聲明強調，相關行動符合國際法及1982年《聯合國海洋法公約》的規定，將對胡塞武裝針對商船的任何威脅予以堅決回擊，並認定此類行為公然違反國際法、構成海上非法行為。此次聯軍的軍事行動是對胡塞武裝同日宣佈對沙特實施海上封鎖的直接回應。胡塞武裝發言人薩雷亞宣佈，基於“以眼還眼”原則對沙特實施海上航運禁令，以回應沙特近12年來對葉門的海陸空封鎖。此前，胡塞武裝已指控沙特空襲其控制的機場，並向沙特境內發射導彈和無人機予以報復。
美聯儲7月加息概率為15.5%，年內至少加息一次的概率為82.5%
據CME“美聯儲觀察”：美聯儲7月維持利率不變的概率為84.5%，累計加息25個基點的概率為15.5%。 美聯儲到9月維持利率不變的概率為36%，累計加息25個基點的概率為55.1%，累計加息50個基點的概率為8.9%。美聯儲到12月維持利率不變的概率為312.5%，累計加息25個基點的概率為42%，至少加息50個基點的概率為40.5%。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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